American Statistical Association
New York City
Metropolitan Area Chapter

Chapter Seminar
November 10, 2015

The New York Metro Area Chapter of the American Statistical Association

Is Pleased to Invite You to a Seminar On

Challenges in Risk Analysis of Complex Systems:
From Space Shuttle, Dirty Bombs to Medical Drugs and Chemicals


Siddhartha Dalal
Chief Data Scientist
AIG Inc.


Statistical models are playing increasingly important role in risk analysis. However, with the increased ability to collect and analyze real time data, the field of risk analysis is entering a new phase based on real time probabilistic risk-analysis. I will illustrate this new paradigm in the context of managing risks associated with complex systems including Space Shuttle, illicit nuclear materials crossing national boundaries and dangerous medical drugs. Analyses depend all the way from small sets of data to terabytes of data on millions of containers entering US, to medical information about drugs. In this talk I will discuss a number of challenges in creating unified decision systems from a risk analysis perspectives, share some of the successes and the corresponding challenges in data analytics and propose new methods based on supervised and non-supervised learning. I also will discuss the impact of such risk analysis on public policy.

(Note: Siddhartha Dalal presented this talk at JSM 2015 as a keynote.)

Biographical Notes

Presentation Slides
ASA 2015 Nov 10 final Dalal.pdf

Tuesday, November 10, 2015

5:00 to 7:00 P.M.

AIG, Inc.
175 Water Street
Rooms 18G and H (18th Floor)
New York, New York

Registration and Fees
Seating is limited.
Light refreshments will be served.
Advanced registration is required and there is no fee.

Please bring a photo ID for security reasons.

Additional Information
For questions, send an e-mail to

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